Labour Target Seats
At the 2017 General Election, the Labour Party shocked many observers when it made a net-gain of 30 seats, increasing its total from 232 to 262. This was the first time since 1997 that the party had increased its number of seats in the House of Commons. In order to win an overall majority of its own, Labour needs to net a further 64 seats. There are several paths to 326 for Labour, the easiest route on paper requires an average uniform national swing of 3.57 percent towards the party from the Conservatives, Plaid Cymru and the Scottish National Party. This would capture 45 seats from the Conservatives, 18 seats from the Scottish National Party and 1 seat from Plaid Cymru, making East Kilbride Strathaven and Lesmahagow with a 7.2 percent Scottish National Party majority the seat to aim for. In order to win an overall majority with gains from the Conservatives only, a 6.09 percent swing is required and target number 94, Altrincham and Sale West is the pivot point with a Conservative majority of 12.2 percent.